Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal - A Statistical Approach to the Kolkata Derby

Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal, A Statistical Approach, Actual Picture Courtesy: ebrp.in


Just before the derby, we at ABCDFootball thought that we could bring up something interesting and we had no magic hat to pull off something “out of the box” but the usual order of the day –“The Statistics”, because that’s what we are best at.

East Bengal and Mohun Bagan did not have the best of starts to this season and the statistics seapks of themselves. Much was expected of the Kolkata giants from their enormous number of fans but as of yet, they have failed to deliver.
The two teams captain and Coach at the Press Meet

So much so was the pressure on the East Bengal management that they finally had to pull the trigger on the misfiring coach Marcos Falopa under whom East Bengal had glory in AFC Cup reaching the semi finals but i-League campaign proved nothing sort of spectacular with some ordinary performances after a promising start against Shillong Lajong FC.

The story was same for East Bengal’s fierce rivals Mohun Bagan, as their “King Cobra” - Odafa Okolie never was available for selection for selection in the i-League after picking up an injury before the season started. Eric Muranda looked more like a desperate purchase rather than a smart one and Mohun Bagan could not get off the blocks quickly enough to pose a threat to the title challenge either.

But, with all the points being stated, none would have any role to play when the game boils down to East Bengal and Mohun Bagan facing each other in world renowned Kolkata Derby which attracts crowd over 1 Lakhs in a packed Salt Lake Stadium. The electrifying atmosphere is unmatched and for a football lover, it’s a game one just cant afford to miss.

We try to cover up their journey in the i-League till now in our very own statistical way. We are going to disect their campaign in the Airtel i-League to several bits and pieces so that its easier to understand their performances categorically.

Lets see how the two teams have performed at Home till now.
Home Record

East Bengal
Mohun Bagan
Games
3
2
Win
1
1
Draw
0
0
Loss
2
1
Goals Scored
5
3
Goals Conceded
6
3
Goals Scored Per Match
1.7
1.5
Goals Conceded Per Match
2.0
1.5

Both teams have not played much at their home till now and before going into any decision making it should be noted that East Bengal have played  two of their three home games at Kalyani. Both teams have secured a single victory as all the games have brought a result without any draws in between. East Bengal have played a game more than Mohun Bagan and add to that they lost a game more than their arch rivals. East Bengal fans could boast of their attackers having scored 5 goals in 3 games at an average of 1.7 goals per game while Mohun Bagan are not too far behind with 3 goals in 2 matches averaging at 1.5 goals per game. On the defending side, Mohun Bagan are ahead by a good margin only conceeding 3 in their 2 games, though that might not sound good but when it’s a head-to-head comparision, East Bengal are lagging far behind conceding 6 goals in just 3 matches.

Now we shift our focus to Away Form:
Away Record
Team
East Bengal
Mohun Bagan
Games
2
6
Win
1
1
Draw
1
4
Loss
0
1
Goals Scored
5
3
Goals Conceded
1
4
Goals Scored Per Match
2.5
0.5
Goals Conceded Per Match
0.5
0.7

Though the away record might not be a factor when the two teams face each other at the Salt Lake Stadium(which is virtually home to both the teams), we thought it would be better to include the statistics to have a better understanding of their performance overall. Mohun Bagan have played 4 more matches than their counterpart but that advantage does not sum up in the goals department. Scoring at a rate of 0.5 goals per game, East Bengal are miles ahead in this section with 5 goals in just 2 matches they played and one of them being a four goal demolition at Shillong against Shillong Lajong FC. But, Mohun Bagan have one quality that they can be proud of and that is their defense spearheaded by Eche Anyichie has only conceded 4 goals in 6 games with 3 clean sheets. Though one might argue that East Bengal have got a better goal conceded per game ratio than Mohun Bagan but it needs to be seen that Mohun Bagan have got 4 more games on their name thus showing more consistency.

We now bring our attention to the overall record and try to see how both the teams have managed thus far:

Team
East Bengal
Mohun Bagan
Matches
5
8
Win
2
2
Draw
1
4
Loss
2
2
Goals Scored
10
6
Goals Conceded
7
7
Goals Scored Per Match
2.0
0.75
Goals Conceded Per Match
1.4
0.8

In the overall comparision both teams have literally cancelled out each other in one way or other. With equal number of wins and losses, Mohun Bagan have drawn the other three games they have played more than their arch rivals.

Both the teams have got one positives and negatives to take from the overall comparision as one can see from the green and red marked cells. East Bengal are a great threat going upfront with the likes of James Moga and Chidi Edeh with the addition of Cavin Lobo, but their defense has been very shaky to say the least conceding at the rate of 1.4 goals per game. Mohun Bagan on the other hand would be very proud of their defense conceding 7 goals in 8 matches which is a good sign but their front line have not been firing till now with the likes of Eric Muranda not being very clinical.

Team
East Bengal
Mohun Bagan
Top Goal Scorer
James Moga(4)
CS Sabeeth(2)
Number of Goal Scorers
6
5
Number of Goals by Indians
4(4 Scorers)
4(3 Scorers)
Number of Goals by Foreigners
5(2 Scorers)
2(2 Scorers)

East Bengal fans would bank on their foreign duo of James Moga and Chidi Edeh to get them the goals while Mohun Bagan fans would be hoping for a super return of their star forward Odafa Okolie. While for East Bengal players like Cavin Lobo have got a name for themselves, Ram Malik has been a revelation for Mohun Bagan this season. On the negative side, Chidi Edeh and Eric Muranda share the same problem of not finding the back of the net, a Kolkata Derby would be a great stage to regain their stature.

Now, we will try to figure out how both the teams have scored and conceded their goals with respect to the 90 minutes clock.

Goal Scoring Pattern:

Goal Scoring Pattern, ABCDFootball.com

First 15
15 to 30
30 to 45
45 to 60
60 to 75
75 to 90
East Bengal
0
1
0
3
2
4
Mohun Bagan
0
0
1
2
0
3

From the goal scoring pattern it is very obvious to see that both teams have scored most of their goals in the final 15 minutes while neither of them have been off the blocks very quick having scored just a single goal in the first 45 minutes.

Goal Conceding Pattern:

Goal Conceding Pattern, ABCDFootball.com


First 15
15 to 30
30 to 45
45 to 60
60 to 75
75 to 90
East Bengal
3
0
1
1
1
1
Mohun Bagan
0
1
1
1
1
3

On the conceding side, East Bengal and Mohun Bagan share similar outcome but on a very contrasting manner with the Red and Golds leaking goals in the first 15 minutes while the Mariners doing the same in the last 15 minutes.

Having all this being said, again we re-iterate that none of these might hold firm when the two teams fight it out at the Salt Lake stadium on 24th November 2013 throwing virtually their life at everything. We could only hope that it could live up to its expectation and be a highlight of Indian Football to the rest of the world.
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About Debraj Banerjee

Hi, I am Debraj Banerjee from Adra, West Bengal. A keen follower of Indian football and always an optimist that the game will get the recognition it truely deserves. What we ask from you is your support and one day the dream might turn true. Fingers crossed for Indian football. Cheers!

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